Showing posts with label Venice-on-Severn. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Venice-on-Severn. Show all posts

Thursday, January 3, 2019

Hong Kong to UK: what a small island can teach a bigger one about global gateways

By George ILIEV
Brexit Metaphor No 76

The Hongkong & Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC) has a timely message to the British public (see photo): "We are not an island... We are part of something far, far bigger."  Britain is indeed far more than an island; it is a gateway.

If you apply the 1861 Scottish census definition of an "island", Britain can support more than one grazing sheep so technically it is still an island. However, many islands are remote and desolate places, while a select few are gateways.

To qualify as a gateway, you need two things:
1) a "strong and stable" avant-port; and
2) a big or growing hinterland.

The list of such locations on the world map is quite short, for example:
a) Hong Kong is the gateway to China;
b) Singapore - to Southeast Asia;
c) Dubai - to the Middle East;
d) and Britain - to Europe.

There is an implicit third factor needed for a gateway to prosper: the sustained and shared appreciation that its wealth depends on the hinterland. This is where Hong Kong's case is really instructive for Britain: Hong Kong has been bending over backwards to Beijing for more than 20 years to keep the economic relationship running smoothly. And this is where Brexit Britain comes short: by trying to cut itself off from Europe in a confrontational way, it is jeopardising its own welfare.

The UK has yet to understand the full implications of Theresa May's October 2016 "citizens of nowhere" speech. Paraphrasing it to apply to the country as a whole is a dead giveaway: if you are a gateway to everywhere, you are a gateway to nowhere.

Britain has little time left to decide whether it wants to maintain its status as a gateway, or if it is content to be relegated to a holiday getaway for Chinese tourists: a Venice-on-Severn where Winnie the Pooh and Paddington Bear "rake in the honey".

HSBC ad in the London Tube
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Notes:
1. Timeline: This article is part of a series of original #BrexitMetaphors published daily. A total of 76 have been posted so far and another 85 Brexit Metaphors will be published every day until the planned Brexit date of March 29, 2019.
2. Disclosure: The author has a master's degree in European Integration. He also thinks he knows a bit about business, economics, entrepreneurship, China, history, geography, nature, science and Rubik Cubes.
3. Invitation: If you'd like to contribute to the debate, please leave a comment below or re-tweet the blogpost link.
4. Sign-up: I would be thrilled if you signed up to receive my blog daily by entering your email address in the blank in the top right-hand corner of this page.
5. Thank you for being here!

Monday, October 22, 2018

A tale of three cities: Singapore-on-Thames, Minsk-on-Trent, Venice-on-Severn

By George ILIEV
Brexit Metaphor No 3

Brexiteers dream of turning Britain into a deregulated free-trade paradise commonly referred to as "Singapore-on-Thames". Remainers fear isolation and economic decline will convert the UK into "Minsk-on-Trent". The most likely outcome from Brexit is probably somewhere in the middle: I call it "Venice-on-Severn".

Westminster Bridge in 1747, painted by Canaletto (Source: Wikipedia)

Singapore-on-Thames is a pipe dream, given the political traditions of the UK, the recent rise of Corbynism and the size of the country. Minsk-on-Trent is a bugbear: even under Corbyn as a possible future prime minister, the UK is unlikely to slide into authoritarian rule. However, Venice-on-Severn is, sadly, a realistic prospect.

Venice lost its prime position as the trading and banking hub of Europe in the 1500s after the Ottomans cut off access to Middle Eastern trade routes and the resulting Age of Discovery definitively moved trade flows from the Mediterranean to the Atlantic. Venice did not disappear completely but it was reduced to the status of a "museum of nostalgia" for rich European (and now Chinese) tourists.

The UK is about to give up voluntarily many of its European supply chain networks (including all manufacturing that depends on just-in-time delivery from Europe) and will hand over a chunk of the thriving financial sector of the City of London to European competitors Paris, Frankfurt, Amsterdam and Dublin.

However, Paddington Bear, the Loch Ness Monster, the Queen, James Bond and Sherlock Holmes will still be around, in case you are a tourist and started wondering. While Winnie-the-Pooh may finally get his own Doge's Palace.

(158 more daily Brexit Metaphors to follow until Brexit day, March 29, 2019)

King Henry VIII and PM BoJo 500 years later

By George ILIEV Brexit Metaphor No 169 It’s 5 years today since the 2016 Brexit referendum - since king BoJo cut off Britain from Europe. We...